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The Old Cricket Thread


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no. MI just needs to win 1 out of 3

 

18 points is not safe, the teams to reach 19 or above to be safe. If RCB wins against MI and Deccan, they will reach 19 points and if CSK beats KKR and Kings11 they will also reach 19 points, which means MI will be on 18 points and out. So any team has to reach atleast 19 points, which might not be also safe considering there are chances where more teams will be in 19 and one of the team might be out of the competition based on the run rate

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Can some one post a thorough analysis of remaining matches and what the results will do?

 

It is very difficult to analyze and predict what could happen as there are about 7 teams fighting for the four spots. So each game would be important. I just say fight for four spots just beacause no team is yet to seal the spot.

 

If DD losses all the remaining matches they will be out, (Punjab, DD, Punjab)

If KKR losses all the matches or win only against Pune also they might be out based on Run rate (CSK, MI, Pune)

If MI losses 2 out of the three matches they might will be out (RCB, KKR, RR)

If RCB losses 2 matches they might be out or even they lose 1 match they might be out based on Run rate(MI, Deccan, DD)

If CSK loses one match they might be out (KKR, Punjab)

If RR, loses one match they will be out (Deccan, MI)

If Kings 11 loses one match they will be out. (DD, CSK, DD)

 

So may be we can get a clearer picture after all the teams finish one more match each.

Edited by Billa
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18 points is not safe, the teams to reach 19 or above to be safe. If RCB wins against MI and Deccan, they will reach 19 points and if CSK beats KKR and Kings11 they will also reach 19 points, which means MI will be on 18 points and out. So any team has to reach atleast 19 points, which might not be also safe considering there are chances where more teams will be in 19 and one of the team might be out of the competition based on the run rate

Dude, its not all that simple, if we follow your logic, then delhi can loose their last 3 matches as well, Punjab can win their next 3 matches as well. considering different variables involved i would call 18 a safe bet, there are too many things which would have to go wrong for a team to score 18 points and still not make it

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Dude, its not all that simple, if we follow your logic, then delhi can loose their last 3 matches as well, Punjab can win their next 3 matches as well. considering different variables involved i would call 18 a safe bet, there are too many things which would have to go wrong for a team to score 18 points and still not make it

 

It is not like too many things to happen. We are at the end of the tournament, so it is just winning two consecutive matches for most of the teams, which can happen. There are so many possibilities a team with 18 can go out

 

For Eg. If Either RCB or CSK reaches 19 points, i am sure atleast one can reach that, which makes MI to be 4th on the list with 18 points. so as per your point, they win one of the 3 matches. Out of the losses, if one comes against RR and RR has one match left with Deccan, which RR will win. So RR will also be on 18 points and RRs runrate is better than MI. so RR will get in to the top four.

 

I am not saying ou can't go with 18 points, i am just saying 18 is not safe. I think teams can go thru even with 17 points, considering most of the other games goes in their favour.

Edited by Billa
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It is not like too many things to happen. We are at the end of the tournament, so it is just winning two consecutive matches for most of the teams, which can happen. There are so many possibilities a team with 18 can go out

 

For Eg. If Either RCB or CSK reaches 19 points, i am sure atleast one can reach that, which makes MI to be 4th on the list with 18 points. so as per your point, they win one of the 3 matches. Out of the losses, if one comes against RR and RR has one match left with Deccan, which RR will win. So RR will also be on 18 points and RRs runrate is better than MI. so RR will get in to the top four.

 

I am not saying ou can't go with 18 points, i am just saying 18 is not safe. I think teams can go thru even with 17 points, considering most of the other games goes in their favour.

Dude , RCB and chennai can even loose all of their matches spastically speaking. 18 points is a safe bet in all the permutations and combinations right now,mthe only team that I can think of is DC who would have managed to go out with 18, hell they can go out even if they had 20 points :D

Btw already loosing interest in the MI vs RCB, no fun if the overs are reduced

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